Description

This analysis provides a forecast of ICP prices using a Seasonal ARIMA model with Box-Cox transformation. The forecast includes different scenarios:

The confidence levels used are 68%, 95%, and 99.7%, which means there is a corresponding probability that the actual price will fall within the Bear and Bull case range for each confidence level.

The purpose of this model is to help investors understand potential future price movements and make informed decisions based on different market scenarios.

Bear_0.997 Bear_0.95 Bear_0.68 Base Bull_0.68 Bull_0.95 Bull_0.997
2025-09-07 0.000983 0.001019 0.001056 0.001096 0.001138 0.001182 0.001231
2025-09-14 0.000911 0.000963 0.001018 0.001080 0.001149 0.001222 0.001307
2025-09-21 0.000853 0.000916 0.000984 0.001063 0.001153 0.001252 0.001371
2025-09-28 0.000812 0.000883 0.000961 0.001055 0.001163 0.001287 0.001441
2025-10-05 0.000761 0.000836 0.000920 0.001021 0.001141 0.001282 0.001461
2025-10-12 0.000732 0.000812 0.000902 0.001012 0.001147 0.001308 0.001519
2025-10-19 0.000712 0.000796 0.000892 0.001013 0.001162 0.001345 0.001591
2025-10-26 0.000689 0.000775 0.000876 0.001004 0.001165 0.001365 0.001641
2025-11-02 0.000673 0.000763 0.000869 0.001005 0.001180 0.001401 0.001714
2025-11-09 0.000655 0.000747 0.000856 0.000998 0.001183 0.001421 0.001766
2025-11-16 0.000636 0.000729 0.000840 0.000986 0.001178 0.001431 0.001803
2025-11-23 0.000630 0.000726 0.000843 0.000999 0.001207 0.001486 0.001907
2025-11-30 0.000620 0.000718 0.000839 0.001003 0.001224 0.001526 0.001993
2025-12-07 0.000604 0.000704 0.000827 0.000994 0.001223 0.001541 0.002044
2025-12-14 0.000588 0.000688 0.000811 0.000981 0.001217 0.001548 0.002081
2025-12-21 0.000576 0.000676 0.000801 0.000975 0.001218 0.001565 0.002136
2025-12-28 0.000554 0.000652 0.000775 0.000945 0.001186 0.001532 0.002107
2026-01-04 0.000543 0.000641 0.000765 0.000938 0.001186 0.001545 0.002154
2026-01-11 0.000535 0.000634 0.000761 0.000939 0.001196 0.001575 0.002231
2026-01-18 0.000525 0.000624 0.000751 0.000931 0.001193 0.001585 0.002274
2026-01-25 0.000518 0.000619 0.000747 0.000932 0.001204 0.001616 0.002358
2026-02-01 0.000509 0.000609 0.000739 0.000926 0.001203 0.001629 0.002408
2026-02-08 0.000499 0.000599 0.000728 0.000915 0.001196 0.001629 0.002436